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Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Stockinger T.
77' Event
Alberico D.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between Altglienicke and Chemnitzer finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemnitzer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Altglienicke
15%
Draws
49%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemnitzer come out ahead of Altglienicke on wins alone.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chemnitzer have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 14%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altglienicke Chemnitzer
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
0:2
May 3, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Altglienicke
2:2
Apr 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Chemnitzer
0:2
Nov 1, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs Altglienicke
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altglienicke Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Chemnitzer Compare

Top Goalscorer Stockinger T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alberico D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altglienicke 10 / 100
Chemnitzer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altglienicke Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altglienicke found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Chemnitzer conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Altglienicke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altglienicke VS Chemnitzer
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Altglienicke

(Home)
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
Page 1 of 6

Chemnitzer

(Away)
30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
Rabenstein
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)