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Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Altglienicke host Luckenwalde in the Regionalliga Nordost. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Altglienicke have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Luckenwalde's 1 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Altglienicke slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.19) point toward Altglienicke. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Altglienicke
15%
Draws
34%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altglienicke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Altglienicke carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Altglienicke a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Altglienicke Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altglienicke Luckenwalde
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde
0:2
Aug 29, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Altglienicke
1:3
May 18, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Altglienicke
0:0
Mar 4, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde
0:0
Feb 3, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Altglienicke vs Luckenwalde
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altglienicke 40 / 100
Luckenwalde 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altglienicke Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altglienicke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altglienicke's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Luckenwalde let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Altglienicke went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Altglienicke VS Luckenwalde
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Altglienicke

(Home)
09 Oct
Altglienicke
0 : 1
BFC Dynamo
25 Sept
Magdeburg II
0 : 1
Altglienicke
19 Sept
Altglienicke
3 : 1
Rsv Eintracht
15 Sept
Zwickau
1 : 2
Altglienicke
11 Sept
Altglienicke
0 : 2
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

Luckenwalde

(Away)
09 Oct
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Luckenwalde
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 BFC Dynamo 12 7 3 2 21:12 24
4 Jena 12 7 1 4 21:11 22
5 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
6 Altglienicke 12 6 3 3 20:15 21
7 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Zwickau 12 5 3 4 15:17 18
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
11 Magdeburg II 12 4 1 7 21:25 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 12 2 5 5 15:18 11
14 Hertha Berlin II 12 2 4 6 10:22 10
15 Chemie Leipzig 12 2 3 7 13:20 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 Luckenwalde 12 2 0 10 12:29 6
18 SV Tasmania Berlin 12 1 2 9 13:38 5
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)