Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Altona vs Alsterbruder

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Karschau L.
82' Event
Kaya M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Altona
15%
Draws
20%
Alsterbruder
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altona lately — more wins on the board than Alsterbruder.
  • Altona are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Altona have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Altona Clean Sheet 10%
Alsterbruder Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altona Alsterbruder
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 20
Goals Scored 1.88 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs Alsterbruder
1:1
Sep 3, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Altona
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Alsterbruder vs Altona
1:3
Sep 9, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Altona vs Alsterbruder
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altona Compare

Top Goalscorer Karschau L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Alsterbruder Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaya M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altona 65 / 100
Alsterbruder 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altona Alsterbruder

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altona scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Alsterbruder's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Altona has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altona VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Altona

(Home)
19 Sept
Altona
2 : 0
HEBC Hamburg
13 Sept
TSV Buchholz 08
5 : 5
Altona
28 Aug
TSV Concordia
3 : 4
Altona
22 Aug
Altona
6 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
14 Aug
Dassendorf
6 : 0
Altona
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Alsterbruder

(Away)
16 May
TSV Concordia
2 : 5
Alsterbruder
10 May
Alsterbruder
1 : 4
Paloma
25 Apr
Suderelbe
3 : 2
Alsterbruder
13 Apr
Alsterbruder
1 : 2
Sasel
04 Apr
Eimsbutteler
4 : 2
Alsterbruder
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)