Sport Picks
Altrincham vs Carlisle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Moss Lane, Altrincham 
Match Events
5'
5'
Weaver L.
34'
34'
Hinchy J.
45'
45'
Whelan C.
Assist: Ajiboye D.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Altrincham and Carlisle finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carlisle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Carlisle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Carlisle carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Carlisle here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 17%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Altrincham | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 31, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Carlisle
2:4
Jan 31, 2026 National League
Carlisle vs Altrincham
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Carlisle
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Altrincham Compare
Top Goalscorer Weaver L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Carlisle Compare
Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camps C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Altrincham 31 / 100
Carlisle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Altrincham Carlisle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carlisle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Attacking prowess: Altrincham scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Carlisle conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
Recent resilience: Altrincham stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Altrincham VS Carlisle
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Altrincham
(Home) 31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 Kidderminster
24 Oct
Yeovil
1 : 2 Altrincham
20 Oct
United of Manchester
2 : 6 Altrincham
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 Kidderminster
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 United of Manchester
10 Oct
Altrincham
3 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
Carlisle
(Away) 31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0 Harrogate
24 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Carlisle
17 Oct
Carlisle
2 : 1 Tamworth
10 Oct
Carlisle
0 : 0 Kidderminster
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
24 Oct
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Carlisle
03 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 3 Carlisle
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0 Carlisle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
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