Sport Picks
Altrincham vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Moss Lane, Altrincham 
Match Events
24'
24'
Hunter J.
28'
28'
Hemmings K.
(Penalty)
41'
41'
Miley J.
AI Match Summary
Altrincham in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altrincham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
20%
34%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Altrincham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Altrincham have won more games recently than Hartlepool.
- Altrincham are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Altrincham | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 9 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Altrincham
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
0:2
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Altrincham
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Altrincham Compare
Top Goalscorer Crawford T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer Miley J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Altrincham 76 / 100
Hartlepool 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Altrincham Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Altrincham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hartlepool let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Altrincham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Altrincham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Altrincham VS Hartlepool
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Altrincham
(Home) 31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 Kidderminster
24 Oct
Yeovil
1 : 2 Altrincham
20 Oct
United of Manchester
2 : 6 Altrincham
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4 Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 Kidderminster
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0 United of Manchester
10 Oct
Altrincham
3 : 1 Aldershot
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
Hartlepool
(Away) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2 Marine
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
10 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 4 Hartlepool
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
