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Altrincham vs Hartlepool

England England

National League Moss Lane, Altrincham
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Hunter J.
28' Event
Hemmings K.
(Penalty)
41'
Miley J.

AI Match Summary

Altrincham in this National League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Altrincham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Altrincham
15%
Draws
17%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Altrincham average 1.3 goals a game right now, well clear of Hartlepool's 1.11.
  • Altrincham are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altrincham Hartlepool
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
2:1
Jan 17, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Altrincham
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
0:2
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Altrincham
1:2
Oct 23, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Hartlepool
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Altrincham Compare

Top Goalscorer Crawford T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Miley J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altrincham 40 / 100
Hartlepool 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altrincham Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altrincham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altrincham scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Hartlepool conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Altrincham remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Altrincham VS Hartlepool
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altrincham

(Home)
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
Altrincham
2 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0
Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Woking
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 8 6 2 0 19:10 20
2 AFC Fylde 8 5 2 1 19:11 17
3 Southend 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
4 Kidderminster 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 Harrogate 8 5 1 2 19:12 16
6 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
7 Aldershot 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
8 Sutton 8 5 0 3 9:9 15
9 Forest Green 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
10 Halifax 8 4 0 4 13:10 12
11 Hornchurch 8 4 0 4 10:12 12
12 Altrincham 8 4 0 4 10:14 12
13 Worthing FC 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
14 Eastleigh 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
15 Carlisle 8 2 4 2 16:13 10
16 Hartlepool 8 3 0 5 6:8 9
17 Woking 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
18 Boston United 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
19 Wealdstone 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
20 Scunthorpe 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
21 Barrow 8 1 3 4 10:12 6
22 Tamworth 8 1 2 5 14:22 5
23 Gateshead 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
24 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
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