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Altrincham vs Notts County - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Moss Lane, Altrincham
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Notts County have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Altrincham have conceded 1.39 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Notts County slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2023, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.31, favoring Altrincham. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Altrincham
30%
Draws
39%
Notts County
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Notts County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altrincham come out ahead of Notts County on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Altrincham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Notts County, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Notts County here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 18%
Notts County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altrincham Notts County
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.54 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2023 National League
Altrincham vs Notts County
0:2
Oct 1, 2022 National League
Notts County vs Altrincham
3:1
May 7, 2022 National League
Notts County vs Altrincham
3:0
Dec 18, 2021 FA Trophy
Notts County vs Altrincham
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 National League
Altrincham vs Notts County
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altrincham 31 / 100
Notts County 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altrincham Notts County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altrincham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altrincham scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Notts County let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Altrincham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Altrincham VS Notts County
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Altrincham

(Home)
31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4
Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
Kidderminster
24 Oct
Yeovil
1 : 2
Altrincham
20 Oct
United of Manchester
2 : 6
Altrincham
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6

Notts County

(Away)
31 Oct
Mansfield
0 : 2
Notts County
24 Oct
Notts County
1 : 1
Stockport County
20 Oct
Notts County
2 : 0
Sheffield Wed
17 Oct
Wycombe
2 : 0
Notts County
13 Oct
Notts County
5 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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