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Altyn Asyr vs Merw - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkmenistan Turkmenistan

Yokary Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Yokary Liga game between Altyn Asyr and Merw finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altyn Asyr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Altyn Asyr
15%
Draws
5%
Merw
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altyn Asyr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Altyn Asyr come out ahead of Merw on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Altyn Asyr taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Altyn Asyr have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Altyn Asyr Clean Sheet 20%
Merw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Altyn Asyr Merw
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.31 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
5:0
Jun 7, 2026 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
2:0
Dec 15, 2025 Yokary Liga
Altyn Asyr vs Merw
3:2
Aug 11, 2025 Yokary Liga
Merw vs Altyn Asyr
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Altyn Asyr 85 / 100
Merw 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Altyn Asyr Merw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altyn Asyr Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Altyn Asyr's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Merw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Altyn Asyr remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Altyn Asyr VS Merw
2.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Altyn Asyr

(Home)
21 Oct
Altyn Asyr
5 : 0
Merw
17 Oct
Altyn Asyr
1 : 0
Kopetdag Asgabat
11 Oct
FC Asgabat
2 : 4
Altyn Asyr
07 Oct
Ahal
0 : 2
Altyn Asyr
19 Sept
Nebitci
1 : 3
Altyn Asyr
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Merw

(Away)
21 Oct
Altyn Asyr
5 : 0
Merw
17 Oct
Nebitci
3 : 0
Merw
24 Sept
Merw
0 : 5
Arkadag
19 Sept
Sagadam
2 : 1
Merw
12 Sept
Merw
2 : 2
Kopetdag Asgabat
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