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Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Sportni park Aluminij, Kidricevo
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aluminij host O. Ljubljana in the Prva liga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. O. Ljubljana have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Aluminij have conceded 1.3 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Aluminij have won 0 to O. Ljubljana's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.31) back O. Ljubljana to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Aluminij
35%
Draws
41%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: O. Ljubljana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and O. Ljubljana come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aluminij's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors O. Ljubljana here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 18%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminij O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 6 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
2:1
Feb 5, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Aluminij
1:1
Jul 26, 2025 Prva liga
Aluminij vs O. Ljubljana
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminij 41 / 100
O. Ljubljana 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminij O. Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

O. Ljubljana has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Aluminij has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aluminij's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminij VS O. Ljubljana
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminij

(Home)
02 Oct
Aluminij
0 : 0
Varazdin
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
05 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 0
Bravo
02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2
Celje
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O. Ljubljana

(Away)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)