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Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Jafarikia S.
41'
Nouri A.
45'
Sub
Bozorg S. In: Jabireh R.
Out: Bozorg S.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Aluminium Arak and Esteghlal TEH finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
32%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Esteghlal TEH come out ahead of Aluminium Arak on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 6 17
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.84 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
0:0
Oct 31, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
3:1
May 2, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Aluminium Arak
5:1
Dec 20, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 32 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aluminium Arak has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Aluminium Arak scored in 60% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Esteghlal TEH conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Esteghlal TEH
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 5

Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
08 Oct
Tractor
1 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al Sadd
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
02 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 1
Persepolis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Persepolis 7 5 1 1 15:4 16
3 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Paykan 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
9 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
10 Chadormalu 8 2 3 3 6:11 9
11 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
12 Kheybar Khorramabad 7 1 4 2 10:10 7
13 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
14 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
15 Shams Azar Qazvin 8 1 3 4 7:10 6
16 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 8 0 4 4 3:11 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)