Sport Picks

Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini

Aluminium Arak

1 - 1

Fajr Sepasi

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Jafarikia S.

51'

Moradi M.

57'

Shahabi H.

Assist: Moradi M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Aluminium Arak

39%

Draws

31%

Fajr Sepasi

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Fajr Sepasi lately — more wins on the board than Aluminium Arak.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%

Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aluminium Arak	Fajr Sepasi
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	6	9
Draws	9	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League

Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Apr 3, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League

Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak

Possession: 45% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

0:0

Dec 19, 2021 Hazfi Cup

Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Dec 10, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League

Aluminium Arak vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 40% - 59% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Jan 7, 2020 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Aluminium Arak

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 4 - 3

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Hosseini S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahabi H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 41 / 100

Fajr Sepasi 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aluminium Arak Fajr Sepasi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fajr Sepasi conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Aluminium Arak remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Fajr Sepasi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Fajr Sepasi

0.75 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Esteghlal TEH	22	11	8	3	29:16	41
2	Tractor	22	10	9	3	30:12	39
3	Sepahan	22	11	6	5	24:13	39
4	Gol Gohar	23	10	6	7	24:24	36
5	Chadormalu	22	9	8	5	27:19	35
6	Persepolis	22	9	7	6	23:19	34
7	Foolad	22	7	10	5	21:16	31
8	Fajr Sepasi	23	8	6	9	25:27	30
9	Kheybar Khorramabad	23	7	8	8	22:24	29
10	Malavan	22	7	8	7	13:21	29
11	Esteghlal Khuzestan	22	6	7	9	16:23	25
12	Paykan	23	5	9	9	15:21	24
13	Shams Azar Qazvin	23	3	13	7	15:19	22
14	Aluminium Arak	22	5	7	10	14:21	22
15	Zob Ahan	21	3	10	8	12:19	19
16	Mes Rafsanjan	22	3	6	13	13:29	15