Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Malavan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

50'
Alinejad M.
66'
Sub
Savaed A. In: Touranian S.
Out: Savaed A.
72'
Sub
Ghanbari A. In: Hosseini S.
Out: Ghanbari A.

AI Match Summary

Malavan in this Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malavan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Aluminium Arak
30%
Draws
28%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Malavan have won more games recently than Aluminium Arak.
  • Model gives Aluminium Arak a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Malavan
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 8 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.85 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:2
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:1
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1
Jun 1, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Eslamikhah G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 86 / 100
Malavan 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aluminium Arak stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aluminium Arak found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Malavan has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Malavan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
Page 1 of 6

Malavan

(Away)
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
19 Aug
Malavan
2 : 1
Zob Ahan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)