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Aluminium Arak vs Malavan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Shahriari E.
43'
Sub
Jafarikia S. In: Goudarzi B.
Out: Jafarikia S.
46'
Sub
Houshmand A. In: Shahabbasi S.
Out: Houshmand A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
20%
Malavan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malavan lately — more wins on the board than Aluminium Arak.
  • Model gives Aluminium Arak a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Malavan Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Malavan
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 0.81 0.85
Goals Conceded 0.81 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:1
Dec 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:2
May 8, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Malavan
1:1
Dec 27, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Malavan vs Aluminium Arak
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Goudarzi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Malavan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shahriari E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 95 / 100
Malavan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Malavan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Aluminium Arak remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aluminium Arak scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Malavan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Malavan
1 Goals Scored 0.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
Page 1 of 6

Malavan

(Away)
08 Oct
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Malavan
07 Sept
Mes Shahr Babak
1 : 2
Malavan
02 Sept
Malavan
0 : 1
Mazandaran
29 Aug
Persepolis
3 : 0
Malavan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 7 5 1 1 8:1 16
2 Esteghlal TEH 7 4 3 0 9:1 15
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Aluminium Arak 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
5 Sepahan 6 3 1 2 5:4 10
6 Gol Gohar 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
7 Foolad 6 2 3 1 5:3 9
8 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
9 Mazandaran 7 2 2 3 4:6 8
10 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
11 Fajr Sepasi 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
12 Malavan 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
13 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
14 Zob Ahan 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 7 0 5 2 5:10 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)