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Aluminium Arak vs Paykan Prediction & H2H Stats

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Jorjani Y.
28'
Sub
Azadmanesh A. In: Jamshidi E.
Out: Azadmanesh A.
32'
Ahmadi H.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 game between Aluminium Arak and Paykan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Aluminium Arak
35%
Draws
28%
Paykan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Paykan have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — Aluminium Arak are scoring more at 0.85.
  • Model gives Aluminium Arak a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Paykan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Paykan
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.85 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Aluminium Arak
0:1
May 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Aluminium Arak
0:1
Nov 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Aghaeipour J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Paykan Compare

Top Goalscorer Najafi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 50 / 100
Paykan 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Paykan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aluminium Arak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aluminium Arak went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aluminium Arak scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Paykan has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Paykan
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
06 Sept
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
01 Sept
Gol Gohar
0 : 2
Aluminium Arak
28 Aug
Aluminium Arak
2 : 2
Kheybar Khorramabad
23 Aug
Shams Azar Qazvin
1 : 2
Aluminium Arak
18 Aug
Aluminium Arak
0 : 0
Chadormalu
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Paykan

(Away)
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Zob Ahan
1 : 0
Paykan
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Esteghlal TEH 22 11 8 3 29:16 41
2 Tractor 22 10 9 3 30:12 39
3 Sepahan 22 11 6 5 24:13 39
4 Gol Gohar 23 10 6 7 24:24 36
5 Chadormalu 22 9 8 5 27:19 35
6 Persepolis 22 9 7 6 23:19 34
7 Foolad 22 7 10 5 21:16 31
8 Fajr Sepasi 23 8 6 9 25:27 30
9 Kheybar Khorramabad 23 7 8 8 22:24 29
10 Malavan 22 7 8 7 13:21 29
11 Esteghlal Khuzestan 22 6 7 9 16:23 25
12 Paykan 23 5 9 9 15:21 24
13 Shams Azar Qazvin 23 3 13 7 15:19 22
14 Aluminium Arak 22 5 7 10 14:21 22
15 Zob Ahan 21 3 10 8 12:19 19
16 Mes Rafsanjan 22 3 6 13 13:29 15
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)