Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aluminium Arak vs Paykan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Imam Khomeini, Arak
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Jorjani Y.
28'
Sub
Azadmanesh A. In: Jamshidi E.
Out: Azadmanesh A.
32'
Ahmadi H.

AI Match Summary

The Persian Gulf Pro League game between Aluminium Arak and Paykan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Aluminium Arak
17%
Draws
13%
Paykan
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aluminium Arak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aluminium Arak haven't matched Paykan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Aluminium Arak a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Aluminium Arak Clean Sheet 68%
Paykan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aluminium Arak Paykan
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Aluminium Arak
0:1
May 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Aluminium Arak
0:1
Nov 24, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
1:1
Mar 12, 2023 Persian Gulf Pro League
Aluminium Arak vs Paykan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aluminium Arak Compare

Top Goalscorer Aghaeipour J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paykan Compare

Top Goalscorer Najafi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aluminium Arak 77 / 100
Paykan 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aluminium Arak Paykan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aluminium Arak went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aluminium Arak scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Paykan has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aluminium Arak VS Paykan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aluminium Arak

(Home)
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
13 Feb
Shams Azar Qazvin
0 : 0
Aluminium Arak
07 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 0
Zob Ahan
01 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 1
Aluminium Arak
27 Jan
Aluminium Arak
0 : 1
Tractor
Page 1 of 6

Paykan

(Away)
27 Feb
Paykan
0 : 0
Sepahan
20 Feb
Aluminium Arak
1 : 1
Paykan
14 Feb
Paykan
0 : 2
Mes Rafsanjan
08 Feb
Chadormalu
2 : 0
Paykan
01 Feb
Paykan
1 : 0
Esteghlal TEH
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)