Sport Picks
Alvarado vs Sol de Mayo
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata 
Match Events
11'
11'
Zalazar D.
18'
18'
Gimenez F.
20'
20'
Federico T.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Alvarado and Sol de Mayo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvarado.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Alvarado carry the better recent record into this one.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Alvarado taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Sol de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvarado | Sol de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Sol de Mayo
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Alvarado
0:0
May 21, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Sol de Mayo
1:0
May 12, 2019 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Alvarado
1:1
Mar 17, 2019 Torneo Federal
Sol de Mayo vs Alvarado
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvarado Compare
Top Goalscorer Federico T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chiozza L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Sol de Mayo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvarado 95 / 100
Sol de Mayo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvarado Sol de Mayo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvarado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: Sol de Mayo has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Sol de Mayo let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Alvarado remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alvarado VS Sol de Mayo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvarado
(Home) 20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
12 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
Sol de Mayo
(Away) 20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
13 Sept
Sol de Mayo
0 : 1 Juventud U.U.
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2 Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0 Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Costa Brava
1 : 0 Sol de Mayo
06 Sept
Circulo Deportivo
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
23 Aug
Fundacion Amigos
2 : 0 Sol de Mayo
13 Aug
San Martin Mendoza
2 : 1 Sol de Mayo
12 Jul
Circulo Deportivo
3 : 1 Sol de Mayo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
