Sport Picks
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Torneo Federal Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata 
Match Events
45'
45'
Battigelli A.
56'
56'
Sub
Cervera G. In: Speck N.
Out: Cervera G.
58'
58'
Sub
Miori M. In: Sosa G.
Out: Miori M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvarado
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alvarado lately — more wins on the board than Villa Mitre.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Alvarado taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Alvarado Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Mitre Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvarado | Villa Mitre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 11 | 14 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.69 | 0.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
0:0
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Mar 4, 2019 Torneo Federal
Alvarado vs Villa Mitre
1:1
Nov 7, 2018 Torneo Federal
Villa Mitre vs Alvarado
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvarado Compare
Top Goalscorer Gutierrez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Villa Mitre Compare
Top Goalscorer Almada J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvarado 50 / 100
Villa Mitre 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvarado Villa Mitre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvarado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Alvarado stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Alvarado scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Villa Mitre conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Alvarado VS Villa Mitre
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvarado
(Home) 27 Sept
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
2 : 2 Alvarado
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
13 Sept
Cipolletti
1 : 0 Alvarado
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
30 Aug
Kimberley
0 : 2 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Alvarado
1 : 1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
06 Sept
Alvarado
3 : 2 Biblioteca Atenas
23 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 1 Argentino MM
12 Aug
Alvarado
1 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
05 Jul
Alvarado
5 : 0 Germinal
Page 1 of 3
Villa Mitre
(Away) 20 Sept
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Kimberley
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Villa Mitre
30 Aug
Villa Mitre
3 : 0 Huracan Las Heras
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0 Villa Mitre
16 Aug
Villa Mitre
0 : 0 Alvarado
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Argentino MM
1 : 0 Villa Mitre
22 Aug
Juventud Antoniana
0 : 0 Villa Mitre
12 Aug
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0 Villa Mitre
02 Aug
Biblioteca Atenas
0 : 1 Villa Mitre
26 Jul
Sol de Mayo
3 : 3 Villa Mitre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
