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Alvechurch vs Bourne - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Alvechurch
30%
Draws
47%
Bourne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bourne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bourne haven't matched Alvechurch's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alvechurch's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Alvechurch have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bourne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Bourne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvechurch Bourne
Matches Played 28 12
Wins 14 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.54 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 FA Trophy
Alvechurch vs Bourne
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 36 / 100
Bourne 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvechurch Bourne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Bourne has conceded goals in 75% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alvechurch stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvechurch VS Bourne
2.5 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 80%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvechurch

(Home)
10 Oct
Alvechurch
0 : 1
Bury Town
03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2
Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2
Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2
Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6

Bourne

(Away)
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2
Bourne
12 Sept
Bourne
3 : 2
Hanley Town
08 Sept
Boldmere St Michaels
2 : 1
Bourne
05 Sept
Bourne
1 : 1
Boldmere St Michaels
29 Aug
Newcastle Town
0 : 3
Bourne
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
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Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
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TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
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Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Alvechurch -
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Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Rushall -
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Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 2
St Ives Town 1
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
TBD -
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Redditch -
Stamford -
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TBD -
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Worcester -
TBD -
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Leek Town -
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
TBD -
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Kettering -
Evesham -
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Stratford -
Ilkeston -
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Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
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Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
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Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
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Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
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Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
TBD -
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Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
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Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Aveley -
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TBD -
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Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Cheshunt -
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Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
TBD -
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Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
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Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
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Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
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Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
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Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
TBD -
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TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
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Enfield Town -
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
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Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
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Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
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TBD -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
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TBD -
TBD -
Winslow United 4
Milton Keynes Irish 3
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Potters 2
Barton 1
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
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Bury Town -
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
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Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
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Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
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Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
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Bath City -
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
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Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
TBD -
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Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
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Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
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Basingstoke -
Yate -
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Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
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Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
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Chichester City -
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
TBD -
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Gosport Borough -
Semi-finals
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Hyde -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Workington -
TBD -
Wythenshawe FC 0
Blyth Spartans 4
Ashington 1
FC Guisborough Town 2
TBD -
Redcar Athletic -
Morpeth 0
Dunston 1
TBD -
Avro -
Bury FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Cleethorpes -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Warrington Rylands -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockton -
Hallam 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
FC Congleton Town 2
TBD -
Whitby -
Silsden 1
Bootle 5
TBD -
AFC Emley -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Stalybridge 3
Lower Breck 2
Alvechurch -
TBD -
Bourne 3
Hanley Town 2
Rushall -
TBD -
TBD -
Stourbridge -
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Bedworth United 3
TBD -
Redditch -
Stamford -
TBD -
Loughborough Students 4
Chasetown 3
Worcester -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town -
Matlock 5
Nuneaton 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Evesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford -
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads -
Quorn -
TBD -
TBD -
Leamington -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Racing Club Warwick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Stafford 3
Alfreton -
TBD -
Shifnal Town 3
Shepshed 0
Mickleover 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 1
TBD -
Malvern Town -
Halesowen -
TBD -
Nantwich 2
Wellingborough 3
Aveley -
TBD -
Ware 2
Sudbury 0
Cheshunt -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Herne Bay 0
Southall FC 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Leatherhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ramsgate -
Berkhamsted Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Chatham -
Maldon & Tiptree -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 0
Egham Town 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Welwyn Garden 2
Walthamstow FC 1
Takeley 2
Aylesbury United 0
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Fakenham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Croydon Athletic 3
Raynes Park Vale 0
Newmarket 5
Gorleston 2
TBD -
Leighton Town -
Real Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Ascot United 1
Ashford United 3
Deal Town 3
Sheppey United 0
Stanway Rovers -
TBD -
Faversham 6
Horley Town 2
Welling -
TBD -
TBD -
Chertsey Town -
Brentwood -
TBD -
Hashtag 3
Hertford Town 1
Uxbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes -
Whyteleafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Burgess Hill -
TBD -
Winslow United 5
Concord Rangers 0
Hanworth Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Hayes & Yeading 3
Peacehaven & Telscombe 1
Erith Town 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Potters 2
Biggleswade FC 5
TBD -
Three Bridges -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Bury Town -
Canvey Island 3
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
Needham Market -
Hastings 2
Bognor Regis 1
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Dartford -
Frome Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Willand Rovers 3
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Moneyfields 3
TBD -
Wimborne -
AFC Stoneham 0
Didcot 4
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
Yate -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hartpury University 2
Weymouth 3
Portland United 0
Thame United 2
TBD -
Chichester City -
Tiverton 3
Larkhall 0
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Final
Warrington Town 2
Ashton United 3
Hyde 2
United of Manchester 0
Workington 4
Blyth Spartans 2
FC Guisborough Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Dunston 0
Avro 2
Bury FC 4
Gainsborough 3
Cleethorpes 5
Lancaster 1
Guiseley 4
Bamber Bridge 2
Warrington Rylands 3
Stockton 1
Hallam 1
Prescot Cables 2
Bridlington Town 3
Whitby 0
Bootle 5
AFC Emley 0
Curzon Ashton 3
Stalybridge 1
Alvechurch 1
Bourne 2
Rushall 1
Stourbridge 3
Bedworth United 0
Redditch 1
Stamford 1
Loughborough Students 2
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
Matlock 0
Kettering 4
Evesham 3
Stratford 1
Ilkeston 1
Anstey Nomads 3
Quorn 4
Leamington 2
Peterborough Sports 1
Banbury 3
Racing Club Warwick 0
Bromsgrove 1
Gloucester City 4
Stafford 0
Alfreton 2
Shifnal Town 1
Mickleover 2
Malvern Town 1
Halesowen 2
Wellingborough 0
Aveley 3
Ware 1
Cheshunt 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Southall FC 2
Carshalton 3
Leatherhead 3
Ramsgate 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Chatham 1
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Egham Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Welwyn Garden 2
Takeley 2
Hitchin 0
Hanwell Town 2
Enfield Town 4
Waltham Abbey 7
Croydon Athletic 1
Newmarket 2
Leighton Town 1
Real Bedford 0
Wingate & Finchley 3
Ashford United 0
Deal Town 1
Stanway Rovers 0
Faversham 2
Welling 2
Chertsey Town 3
Brentwood 3
Hashtag 4
Uxbridge 2
Lewes 1
Whyteleafe 1
Whitehawk 4
Burgess Hill 6
Winslow United 2
Hanworth Villa 3
Stortford 2
Hayes & Yeading 1
Erith Town 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Three Bridges 3
St. Albans 4
Bury Town 1
Canvey Island 0
Needham Market 3
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Leiston 0
Dartford 3
Frome Town 2
Willand Rovers 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Bath City 3
Moneyfields 1
Wimborne 3
Didcot 1
Bracknell Town 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 3
Poole Town 1
Basingstoke 0
Yate 0
Sholing 1
Chippenham Town 2
Weymouth 3
Thame United 1
Chichester City 2
Tiverton 1
Gosport Borough 3