Sport Picks

England

Southern League Premier Central

Alvechurch

1 - 3

Bury Town

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Wakefield K.

68'

Canfer O.

73'

White J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Alvechurch

28%

Draws

50%

Bury Town

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Bury Town have won more games recently than Alvechurch.
50% — that's where the model lands on Bury Town taking it.
Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%

Alvechurch Clean Sheet 16%

Bury Town Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alvechurch	Bury Town
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	7	11
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier Central

Alvechurch vs Bury Town

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier Central

Bury Town vs Alvechurch

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alvechurch Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakefield K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Canfer O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader White J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 23 / 100

Bury Town 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alvechurch Bury Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bury Town let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvechurch VS Bury Town

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harborough	42	28	11	3	81:33	95
2	Spalding United	42	25	10	7	103:54	85
3	Real Bedford	42	24	9	9	84:47	81
4	Kettering	42	21	9	12	74:52	72
5	Halesowen	42	20	10	12	85:60	70
6	Needham Market	42	20	10	12	64:53	70
7	Redditch	42	21	7	14	67:58	70
8	Quorn	42	19	8	15	78:71	65
9	Worcester	42	17	12	13	64:44	63
10	Leiston	42	16	15	11	65:58	63
11	Stratford	42	17	10	15	61:54	61
12	Banbury	42	17	9	16	51:56	60
13	Bury Town	42	15	13	14	61:53	58
14	Alvechurch	42	14	8	20	49:55	50
15	Stourbridge	42	12	14	16	58:68	50
16	Stortford	42	13	10	19	53:67	49
17	Stamford	42	13	8	21	41:64	47
18	Bromsgrove	42	12	8	22	52:73	44
19	St Ives Town	42	9	12	21	50:73	39
20	Barwell	42	9	8	25	52:85	35
21	Royston Town	42	5	10	27	35:82	25
22	Sudbury	42	6	7	29	47:115	25