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Alvechurch vs Bury Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alvechurch host Bury Town in the Southern League Premier Central. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Alvechurch at 1.64 goals for, 0.97 against; Bury Town at 1.96 for, 1.43 against. Head-to-head, Alvechurch have won 1 to Bury Town's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.88 - 1.44) back Bury Town to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alvechurch
30%
Draws
33%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alvechurch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alvechurch lately — more wins on the board than Bury Town.
  • Alvechurch are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 16%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvechurch Bury Town
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 17 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.64 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Bury Town
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Alvechurch
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvechurch 75 / 100
Bury Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvechurch Bury Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvechurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alvechurch found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (33 games).

Bury Town let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alvechurch went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvechurch VS Bury Town
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvechurch

(Home)
03 Oct
Cambridge City
1 : 2
Alvechurch
29 Sept
Alvechurch
0 : 0
Stourbridge
26 Sept
Alvechurch
1 : 2
Bourne
22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2
Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1
Racing Club Warwick
Page 1 of 7

Bury Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)