Sport Picks
Alvechurch vs Royston Town
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
76'
76'
Abbey J.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Alvechurch and Royston Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alvechurch.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alvechurch
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alvechurch come out ahead of Royston Town on wins alone.
- Model gives Alvechurch a 85% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Alvechurch have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Alvechurch Clean Sheet 20%
Royston Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alvechurch | Royston Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Royston Town
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Alvechurch
0:3
Apr 5, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Royston Town
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Royston Town vs Alvechurch
0:2
Jan 30, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Alvechurch vs Royston Town
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alvechurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Abbey J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34
Royston Town Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alvechurch 85 / 100
Royston Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alvechurch Royston Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alvechurch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Royston Town let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Alvechurch remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Royston Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Alvechurch scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Alvechurch VS Royston Town
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Alvechurch
(Home) 22 Sept
Anstey Nomads
2 : 2 Alvechurch
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Wolverhampton City
31 Aug
Rushall
0 : 1 Alvechurch
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alvechurch
3 : 1 Racing Club Warwick
12 Sept
Alvechurch
4 : 0 Stamford
05 Sept
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Wolverhampton City
29 Aug
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Racing Club Warwick
15 Aug
Alvechurch
2 : 0 Needham Market
Page 1 of 3
Royston Town
(Away) 05 Sept
Real Bedford
4 : 1 Royston Town
29 Aug
Hashtag
3 : 1 Royston Town
25 Apr
Stourbridge
1 : 0 Royston Town
18 Apr
Royston Town
0 : 3 Stamford
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0 Royston Town
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Real Bedford
4 : 1 Royston Town
29 Aug
Hashtag
3 : 1 Royston Town
25 Apr
Stourbridge
1 : 0 Royston Town
11 Apr
Alvechurch
1 : 0 Royston Town
03 Apr
Banbury
1 : 2 Royston Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
