Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca B vs GD Alcochetense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Tavares R.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Alverca B and GD Alcochetense finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Alcochetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alverca B
20%
Draws
38%
GD Alcochetense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alverca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alverca B come out ahead of GD Alcochetense on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alverca B taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Alverca B Clean Sheet 68%
GD Alcochetense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca B GD Alcochetense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.79 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.17 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Alverca B vs GD Alcochetense
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
GD Alcochetense vs Alverca B
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

GD Alcochetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Tavares R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca B 95 / 100
GD Alcochetense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca B GD Alcochetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca B scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

GD Alcochetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Alverca B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alverca B VS GD Alcochetense
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca B

(Home)
23 Aug
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
Alverca B
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Serpa
0 : 1
Alverca B
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
29 Mar
Alverca B
4 : 0
Portimonense B
Page 1 of 6

GD Alcochetense

(Away)
23 Aug
GD Alcochetense
2 : 2
Portel
16 Aug
Juv. Evora
3 : 2
GD Alcochetense
18 Apr
Lagoa
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
12 Apr
GD Alcochetense
1 : 1
Oriental
04 Apr
Alverca B
0 : 1
GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)