Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Salamanqueiro M.
47' Event
Almeida T.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Ferreirinha A.

AI Match Summary

Benfica U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Benfica U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alverca U19
20%
Draws
61%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Benfica U19 have won more games recently than Alverca U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Benfica U19 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 21
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.24 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
1:2
Dec 21, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Alverca U19
2:1
Jan 19, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Benfica U19 vs Alverca U19
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Benfica U19
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alverca U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salamanqueiro M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreirinha A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.96
Avg xA / game 1.2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 30 / 100
Benfica U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alverca U19 scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Benfica U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Alverca U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS Benfica U19
1.43 Goals Scored 2.75
1.57 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5
Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Benfica U19
5 : 1
SC Farense U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
15 Aug
Oriental U19
0 : 0
Benfica U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
2 Gil Vicente U19 5 3 1 1 4:1 10
3 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
4 Feirense U19 5 3 0 2 4:4 9
5 Braga U19 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
6 Rio Ave U19 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
7 Moreirense U19 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
8 Academico Viseu U19 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
9 Famalicao U19 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
10 Vizela U19 5 1 0 4 5:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 5 4 1 0 15:4 13
2 Sporting CP U19 5 4 1 0 10:3 13
3 Oriental U19 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
4 Mafra U19 5 2 1 2 5:11 7
5 Santa Clara U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
6 Torreense U19 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
7 SC Farense U19 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
8 Casa Pia U19 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
9 Leiria U19 5 0 3 2 4:10 3
10 Alverca U19 4 0 1 3 5:10 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)