Sport Picks
Alverca U19 vs Casa Pia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 
Match Events
61'
61'
Salamanqueiro M.
64'
64'
Valente J.
64'
64'
Valente J.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional U19 game between Alverca U19 and Casa Pia U19 finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Casa Pia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alverca U19 come out ahead of Casa Pia U19 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca U19 | Casa Pia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Casa Pia U19
1:1
Oct 29, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Casa Pia U19
2:0
Aug 6, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Casa Pia U19 vs Alverca U19
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Salamanqueiro M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Casa Pia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Carvalho D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca U19 36 / 100
Casa Pia U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca U19 Casa Pia U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casa Pia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Alverca U19 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Casa Pia U19 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Alverca U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Alverca U19 VS Casa Pia U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
38% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca U19
(Home) 26 Sept
Santa Clara U19
1 : 1 Alverca U19
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0 Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
Page 1 of 4
Casa Pia U19
(Away) 19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
12 Sept
Casa Pia U19
2 : 3 Torreense U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0 Casa Pia U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0 Leiria U19
15 Aug
Casa Pia U19
2 : 0 Santa Clara U19
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
05 Sept
Oriental U19
1 : 0 Casa Pia U19
08 Aug
Sporting CP U19
2 : 0 Casa Pia U19
26 Apr
Sporting CP U19
1 : 1 Casa Pia U19
30 Mar
SC Lusitania U19
0 : 2 Casa Pia U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 5 | Feirense U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 10 |
| 6 | Rio Ave U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Famalicao U19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 8 | Academico Viseu U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 10 | Vizela U19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting CP U19 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Benfica U19 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Oriental U19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Mafra U19 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:12 | 8 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Casa Pia U19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 8 | SC Farense U19 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 9 | Alverca U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 10 | Leiria U19 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)
