Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alverca U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Alverca U19
20%
Draws
60%
Estoril U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estoril U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Estoril U19 haven't matched Alverca U19's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Estoril U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alverca U19 Estoril U19
Matches Played 36 34
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.19 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1
Mar 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
1:1
Nov 5, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Estoril U19 vs Alverca U19
2:4
Aug 12, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
1:1
Apr 22, 2023 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Estoril U19
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alverca U19 32 / 100
Estoril U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alverca U19 Estoril U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alverca U19 scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Estoril U19 conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Estoril U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alverca U19 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alverca U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3
SC Farense U19
Page 1 of 8

Estoril U19

(Away)
25 May
Beira Mar U19
2 : 0
Estoril U19
18 May
Estoril U19
2 : 3
Belenenses U19
11 May
Alverca U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
04 May
Estoril U19
0 : 2
SC Lusitania U19
27 Apr
Torreense U19
0 : 1
Estoril U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 22 12 7 3 42:23 43
2 Vizela U19 22 12 6 4 51:32 42
3 Famalicao U19 22 11 8 3 38:22 41
4 Braga U19 22 11 6 5 38:28 39
5 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 22 11 5 6 43:37 38
6 Gil Vicente U19 22 9 4 9 42:38 31
7 Pacos Ferreira U19 22 8 6 8 41:45 30
8 Gondomar U19 22 9 2 11 29:38 29
9 Boavista U19 22 8 4 10 27:31 28
10 Rio Ave U19 22 7 5 10 22:28 26
11 Tondela U19 22 3 5 14 17:37 14
12 Anadia U19 22 0 4 18 23:54 4
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica U19 22 15 3 4 69:29 48
2 Sporting CP U19 22 14 5 3 40:16 47
3 Alverca U19 22 12 6 4 43:36 42
4 Estoril U19 22 10 5 7 28:35 35
5 Academica U19 22 10 5 7 32:29 35
6 Belenenses U19 22 9 7 6 32:23 34
7 Torreense U19 22 8 4 10 31:34 28
8 Maritimo U19 22 5 7 10 19:33 22
9 Casa Pia U19 22 6 3 13 22:46 21
10 Nacional U19 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Vitoria Setubal U19 22 5 5 12 28:36 20
12 Vilafranquense U19 22 3 5 14 19:33 14
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2022/2023 (Relegation Group)