Sport Picks
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
Portugal
Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 
Match Events
1'
1'
Silva T.
57'
57'
Ayase M.
66'
66'
Martins R.
AI Match Summary
Alverca U19 in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alverca U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tondela U19 lately — more wins on the board than Alverca U19.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Alverca U19 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Tondela U19 Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca U19 | Tondela U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Alverca U19
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Tondela U19 vs Alverca U19
0:0
Dec 21, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Tondela U19
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ayase M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Tondela U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca U19 59 / 100
Tondela U19 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca U19 Tondela U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alverca U19 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Tondela U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Tondela U19's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alverca U19 VS Tondela U19
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca U19
(Home) 06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Alverca U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
25 Apr
Belenenses U19
0 : 5 Alverca U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2 Benfica U19
15 Aug
Alverca U19
2 : 3 SC Farense U19
11 Apr
Alverca U19
0 : 1 Mafra U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 1 Torreense U19
Page 1 of 4
Tondela U19
(Away) 25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
11 Apr
Tondela U19
2 : 1 Belenenses U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
07 Mar
Tondela U19
0 : 1 Academico Viseu U19
Page 1 of 7
25 Apr
Torreense U19
2 : 0 Tondela U19
28 Mar
Alverca U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
14 Mar
Mafra U19
2 : 2 Tondela U19
21 Feb
Belenenses U19
1 : 0 Tondela U19
24 Jan
Academico Viseu U19
2 : 1 Tondela U19
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto U19 | 18 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 62:19 | 49 |
| 2 | Gil Vicente U19 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 31:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Rio Ave U19 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 4 | Famalicao U19 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 35:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga U19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Vizela U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 30:39 | 19 |
| 8 | Pacos Ferreira U19 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22:37 | 19 |
| 9 | Moreirense U19 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20:27 | 16 |
| 10 | Chaves U19 | 18 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica U19 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:14 | 36 |
| 2 | Leiria U19 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 30:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting CP U19 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:15 | 29 |
| 4 | Santa Clara U19 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Academico Viseu U19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 23:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Torreense U19 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Alverca U19 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 23:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Belenenses U19 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 13:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Tondela U19 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 11:26 | 17 |
| 10 | Mafra U19 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 22:38 | 15 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
