Sport Picks
Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora
Portugal
Liga Portugal FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gui D.
17'
17'
Luan Patrick
35'
35'
Lekovic S.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Alverca and Estrela da Amadora finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estrela da Amadora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Estrela da Amadora haven't matched Alverca's recent run of results.
- Model gives Alverca a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alverca Clean Sheet 14%
Estrela da Amadora Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca | Estrela da Amadora |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora
2:2
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Aug 25, 2025 Liga Portugal
Estrela da Amadora vs Alverca
2:2
Feb 19, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
Estrela da Amadora vs Alverca
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca Compare
Top Goalscorer Ian Luccas
1 Goals Assists Leader Semedo V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Estrela da Amadora Compare
Top Goalscorer Antonetti L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Marcus A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca 41 / 100
Estrela da Amadora 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca Estrela da Amadora
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Alverca scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Estrela da Amadora conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Alverca has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alverca VS Estrela da Amadora
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca
(Home) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3 Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 3
Estrela da Amadora
(Away) 20 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
0 : 2 Academico Viseu
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
10 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 1 Braga
05 Sept
Estrela da Amadora
2 : 2 Famalicao
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Rio Ave
3 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
30 Aug
Nacional
2 : 3 Estrela da Amadora
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
16 May
Braga
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
02 May
Moreirense
3 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
