Sport Picks
Alverca vs Santa Clara Prediction & H2H Stats
Portugal
Liga Portugal FC Alverca Sports Complex, Alverca do Ribatejo 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sub
Touaizi N. In: Spencer D.
Out: Touaizi N.
60'
60'
Fernandes E.
63'
63'
Sub
Ian Luccas In: Moreira V.
Out: Ian Luccas
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal game between Alverca and Santa Clara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Clara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Alverca haven't matched Santa Clara's recent run of results.
- Model gives Santa Clara a 43% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Portugal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alverca Clean Sheet 16%
Santa Clara Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alverca | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Santa Clara
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Portugal
Alverca vs Santa Clara
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Liga Portugal
Santa Clara vs Alverca
2:1
Mar 20, 2005 Liga Portugal 2
Santa Clara vs Alverca
0:0
Nov 6, 2004 Liga Portugal 2
Alverca vs Santa Clara
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alverca Compare
Top Goalscorer Semedo V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Santa Clara Compare
Top Goalscorer Brenner
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alverca 23 / 100
Santa Clara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alverca Santa Clara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Clara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alverca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Alverca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Santa Clara let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alverca VS Santa Clara
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Alverca
(Home) 19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
12 Sept
Nacional
1 : 3 Alverca
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
22 Aug
Sporting CP
3 : 1 Alverca
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Alverca
1 : 0 Rio Ave
05 Sept
Alverca
1 : 2 Braga
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Alverca
2 : 2 Estrela da Amadora
01 Aug
Alverca
1 : 0 Sporting CP B
Page 1 of 3
Santa Clara
(Away) 20 Sept
Santa Clara
0 : 0 Braga
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
06 Sept
Santa Clara
4 : 0 Rio Ave
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
23 Aug
Santa Clara
1 : 0 Famalicao
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
Arouca
1 : 2 Santa Clara
29 Aug
Alverca
1 : 1 Santa Clara
15 Aug
Academico Viseu
0 : 1 Santa Clara
16 May
FC Porto
1 : 0 Santa Clara
02 May
Arouca
2 : 2 Santa Clara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 5 | Arouca | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Estrela da Amadora | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 8 |
| 10 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 14 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | 4 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2027/2028 (Main)
