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Alvorada vs Colinas

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2005
Alvorada Logo

Alvorada

1 - 2
FT
Colinas Logo

Colinas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Colinas in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Colinas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Alvorada
35%
Draws
9%
Colinas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Alvorada have won more games recently than Colinas.
  • Alvorada are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Colinas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alvorada Clean Sheet 20%
Colinas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alvorada Colinas
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 12 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.56 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 3.10 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2006 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Colinas
0:6
May 21, 2005 Tocantinense
Alvorada vs Colinas
1:2
Apr 16, 2005 Tocantinense
Colinas vs Alvorada
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alvorada 85 / 100
Colinas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alvorada Colinas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alvorada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Alvorada found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (36 games).

Colinas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Alvorada stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alvorada VS Colinas
1 Goals Scored 0.2
2.13 Goals Conceded 5.2
88% Over 1.5 80%
88% Over 2.5 80%
25% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Alvorada

(Home)
29 Nov
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Alvorada
22 Nov
Alvorada
3 : 4
Guarai SC
15 Nov
Paraiso EC
2 : 2
Alvorada
08 Nov
Alvorada
2 : 0
Paraiso EC
25 Oct
Uniao de Palmas
1 : 1
Alvorada
Page 1 of 8

Colinas

(Away)
02 Nov
Bela Vista-TO
8 : 0
Colinas
26 Oct
Colinas
0 : 5
Guarai SC
19 Oct
Araguacema
7 : 1
Colinas
12 Oct
SD Sparta
6 : 0
Colinas
15 Apr
Tocantins
1 : 1
Colinas
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colinas 18 12 1 5 31:17 37
2 Araguaina 18 10 3 5 39:18 33
3 Gurupi 18 9 4 5 41:16 31
4 Palmas 18 9 4 5 31:18 31
5 Interporto 18 8 5 5 29:29 29
6 Tocantinopolis 18 6 6 6 29:24 24
7 CA Tocantinense 18 5 7 6 27:35 22
8 Paraiso EC 18 5 5 8 19:33 20
9 Miracema EC 18 3 5 10 28:44 14
10 Alvorada 18 2 2 14 17:57 8
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2005 (Second stage)