Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Sergipano 2 2024 game between Amadense and Independente SE finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independente SE.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Independente SE
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Amadense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Amadense a 30% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Amadense Clean Sheet 19%
Independente SE Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amadense | Independente SE |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 22 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 1.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 2, 2024 Sergipano 2
Independente SE vs Amadense
2:2
Aug 31, 2024 Sergipano 2
Amadense vs Independente SE
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amadense 49 / 100
Independente SE 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amadense Independente SE
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amadense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independente SE let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
Amadense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Amadense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Amadense VS Independente SE
0.67 Goals Scored 0.75
1.83 Goals Conceded 2
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Amadense
(Home) 12 Oct
Estanciano EC
2 : 1 Amadense
05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1 CS Maruinense
02 Oct
Botafogo ASF
3 : 0 Amadense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0 Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1 AD Boquinhense
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05 Oct
Amadense
0 : 1 CS Maruinense
21 Sept
Amadense
3 : 0 Riachao
17 Sept
Amadense
0 : 1 AD Boquinhense
09 Oct
Amadense
3 : 1 Riachao
29 Sept
Amadense
3 : 1 AD Boquinhense
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Independente SE
(Away) 01 Nov
Independente SE
4 : 2 Caninde
25 Oct
Independente SE
1 : 1 America de Pedrinhas
18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0 Independente SE
15 Oct
Independente SE
0 : 3 Frei Paulistano
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1 Independente SE
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18 Oct
Atletico Gloriense
7 : 0 Independente SE
10 Oct
Atletico Central
1 : 1 Independente SE
25 Sept
Flamengo SE
3 : 0 Independente SE
20 Sept
Boca Junior
2 : 0 Independente SE
26 Oct
Desportiva Aracaju
3 : 2 Independente SE
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SE | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:1 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico Central | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:7 | 18 |
| 3 | Aracaju FC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 4 | CS Maruinense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorro | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desportiva Aracaju | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Barra SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 19 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz SE | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 4 | Cotinguiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:14 | 4 |
| 5 | Socorrense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Pedrinhas | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Independente SE | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 3 | Riachao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 4 | Amadense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 5 | AD Boquinhense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | 2 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frei Paulistano | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Boca Junior | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Estanciano EC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Sete de Junho | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Botafogo ASF | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guarany SE | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 23:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Caninde | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Forca Jovem Aquidaba | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Propria | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 5 | Coritiba SE | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 1 |
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Second stage)
