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Amagaju vs Kigali FC

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2025/2026
Amagaju Logo

Amagaju

0 - 2
FT
Kigali FC Logo

Kigali FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Amagaju and Kigali FC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kigali FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Amagaju
30%
Draws
31%
Kigali FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amagaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kigali FC haven't matched Amagaju's recent run of results.
  • Amagaju are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 68%
Kigali FC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Kigali FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0.6 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Amagaju vs Kigali FC
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Amagaju
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Premier League
Kigali FC vs Amagaju
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Kigali FC
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Kigali FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 59 / 100
Kigali FC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Kigali FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amagaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kigali FC conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Amagaju stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kigali FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Kigali FC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al-Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0
Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2
Muhanga
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Kigali FC

(Away)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
06 Sept
Marines
2 : 0
Kigali FC
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
Kigali FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)