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Amagaju vs Musanze - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amagaju host Musanze in the Premier League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Musanze have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Amagaju have conceded 1.06 and scored 0.73. Past meetings favor Musanze slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.75) point toward Musanze. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Amagaju
20%
Draws
29%
Musanze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amagaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Musanze haven't matched Amagaju's recent run of results.
  • Amagaju are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Musanze have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 20%
Musanze Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amagaju Musanze
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.73 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
Musanze vs Amagaju
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Musanze
0:2
Mar 29, 2025 Premier League
Musanze vs Amagaju
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Premier League
Amagaju vs Musanze
0:3
Apr 27, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Amagaju
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amagaju 67 / 100
Musanze 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amagaju Musanze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amagaju Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musanze let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Amagaju remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Musanze's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amagaju VS Musanze
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amagaju

(Home)
17 Oct
Amagaju
4 : 0
Sunrise
11 Oct
Amagaju
1 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0
Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0
Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
Page 1 of 7

Musanze

(Away)
11 Oct
Musanze
0 : 1
Gasogi United
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Marines 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
3 Amagaju 5 2 1 2 7:3 7
4 Mukura Victory Sports 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Gorilla 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
6 Etincelles 5 2 1 2 2:6 7
7 Sunrise 5 1 3 1 3:6 6
8 Gasogi United 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
9 Police 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Kiyovu 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
11 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
12 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
13 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
14 Bugesera 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
15 Musanze 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
16 Etoile de L'Est 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
17 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
18 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)