Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amal Bou Saada vs Reghaia

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amal Bou Saada play Reghaia in the Ligue 2 2006/2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amal Bou Saada averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Reghaia averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Amal Bou Saada won 3, Reghaia won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2008 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Amal Bou Saada and 1.25 for Reghaia. This points to a Amal Bou Saada double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Amal Bou Saada
15%
Draws
41%
Reghaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Amal Bou Saada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Amal Bou Saada picked up more points recently compared to Reghaia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Amal Bou Saada Clean Sheet 19%
Reghaia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amal Bou Saada Reghaia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2008 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs Reghaia
2:1
Sep 20, 2007 Ligue 2
Reghaia vs Amal Bou Saada
3:2
Jun 7, 2007 Ligue 2
Reghaia vs Amal Bou Saada
1:2
Dec 14, 2006 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs Reghaia
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amal Bou Saada 43 / 100
Reghaia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amal Bou Saada Reghaia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Amal Bou Saada or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amal Bou Saada attacking → ← attacking Reghaia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amal Bou Saada scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Reghaia let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Amal Bou Saada went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Reghaia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 37
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Annaba34245565:1977
2Khroub34198741:3165
3Saida341941150:3361
4Eulma341861046:2860
5Constantine341591036:3054
6MO Constantine341291347:3945
7MO Bejaia3411111227:3344
8Biskra341351640:5244
9RC Kouba3410131130:2743
10Harrach341271526:3243
11UMS Drean3410111337:3941
12Amal Bou Saada341181533:4641
13MSP Batna3410101441:4440
14Mohammadia SA341171628:4240
15Reghaia341241835:5340
16Bel Abbes341161728:3039
17Widad Adabi de Boufarik341081624:3738
18JSM Tiaret341132030:4936