Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Amanecer in this Nacional B 2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Amanecer.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Amanecer
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Amanecer have won more games recently than El Tejar.
- Amanecer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Nacional B 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Amanecer Clean Sheet 68%
El Tejar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amanecer | El Tejar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 8 | 6 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
El Tejar vs Amanecer
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 Copa Simon Bolivar
Amanecer vs El Tejar
5:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amanecer 95 / 100
El Tejar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amanecer El Tejar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Amanecer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Tejar has conceded goals in 100% of their last 6 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.
Amanecer found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (8 games).
Recent resilience: Amanecer stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Amanecer VS El Tejar
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 83%
88% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 67%
Recent Form & Match History
Amanecer
(Home) 02 Nov
Amanecer
1 : 5 Petrolero de Yacuiba
06 Oct
Petrolero de Yacuiba
5 : 0 Amanecer
20 Sept
Ciclon
2 : 2 Amanecer
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1 Amanecer
08 Sept
Amanecer
3 : 0 Universitario de Sucre
Page 1 of 2
02 Nov
Amanecer
1 : 5 Petrolero de Yacuiba
08 Sept
Amanecer
3 : 0 Universitario de Sucre
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2 El Tejar
17 Aug
Amanecer
4 : 1 Ciclon
El Tejar
(Away) 20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
6 : 3 El Tejar
13 Sept
El Tejar
1 : 1 Amanecer
07 Sept
El Tejar
3 : 3 Ciclon
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2 El Tejar
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0 El Tejar
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Universitario de Sucre
6 : 3 El Tejar
31 Aug
Amanecer
5 : 2 El Tejar
25 Aug
Ciclon
1 : 0 El Tejar
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CDN Santa Cruz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Petrolero de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Stormers SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario de Sucre | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Amanecer | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Ciclon | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | 5 |
| 4 | El Tejar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Beni | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Tiquipaya | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Aleman | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Moto Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Fatic | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 4 | Universitario de Tarija | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:18 | 4 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oruro Royal | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Oruro | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Destroyers | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Rio San Juan | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:14 | 3 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academia del Balompie | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 11 |
| 2 | 3 de Febrero | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 3 | Wilstermann Cooperativas | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Vaca Diez | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:16 | 2 |
Promotion - Nacional B 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
