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Amapa vs SAO Jose

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2006
Amapa Logo

Amapa

1 - 0
FT
SAO Jose Logo

SAO Jose

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2006 game between Amapa and SAO Jose finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amapa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Amapa
30%
Draws
29%
SAO Jose
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amapa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Amapa haven't matched SAO Jose's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Amapa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SAO Jose here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Amapa Clean Sheet 20%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amapa SAO Jose
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2008 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:3
Jul 9, 2007 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:4
May 31, 2007 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Amapa
2:1
Jun 8, 2006 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Amapa
2:1
Jun 5, 2006 Amapaense
Amapa vs SAO Jose
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amapa 40 / 100
SAO Jose 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amapa SAO Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amapa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amapa scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SAO Jose conceded in 75% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Amapa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS SAO Jose
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amapa

(Home)
21 Jun
Amapa
1 : 1
Independente AP
13 Jun
Ypiranga AP
0 : 1
Amapa
01 Jun
Trem
2 : 1
Amapa
17 May
Amapa
3 : 2
Santos AP
10 May
Cristal AP
2 : 0
Amapa
Page 1 of 6

SAO Jose

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 5 5 0 0 13:6 15
2 Amapa 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
3 SAO Jose 5 2 1 2 9:7 7
4 Ypiranga AP 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
5 Cristal AP 5 1 2 2 13:15 5
6 Santos AP 5 0 1 4 10:19 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2006 (Second stage - Play Offs)