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Amarante FC vs Benfica B Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Amarante Stadium, Amarante
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Match Events

15' Event
Costa M.
Assist: Machado L.
43'
Gabriel Indio
46'
Sub
Machado L. In: Silva B.
Out: Machado L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Amarante FC and Benfica B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amarante FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Amarante FC
30%
Draws
33%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Amarante FC come out ahead of Benfica B on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Amarante FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 16%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Benfica B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Amarante FC vs Benfica B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Costa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Benfica B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 36 / 100
Benfica B 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Benfica B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amarante FC scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Benfica B let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Amarante FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS Benfica B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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Benfica B

(Away)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)