Sport Picks
Amarante FC vs Leiria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 Amarante Stadium, Amarante 
Match Events
4'
4'
Sub
Lottin A. In: Tharlley
Out: Lottin A.
23'
23'
Custodio I.
41'
41'
Mendes F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 game between Amarante FC and Leiria finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leiria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Amarante FC come out ahead of Leiria on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 17%
Leiria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amarante FC | Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Amarante FC vs Leiria
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amarante FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cunha G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Leiria Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Silva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Amarante FC 31 / 100
Leiria 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Amarante FC Leiria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Amarante FC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Leiria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.
Amarante FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Amarante FC VS Leiria
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Amarante FC
(Home) 20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2 Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0 Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Benfica B
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1 Lusitania FC
10 May
Amarante FC
1 : 0 Santarem
26 Apr
Amarante FC
2 : 2 CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 3
Leiria
(Away) 19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0 Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0 Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2 Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2 Leiria
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0 Leiria
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2 Leiria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Sporting CP B | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 6 | Vizela | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 7 | Benfica B | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Leiria | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 10 | AFS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Academica | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 13 | FC Felgueiras | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 15 | Amarante FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | Chaves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Feirense | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)
