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Amarante FC vs Os Sandinenses

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Club Friendly 2024
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AI Match Summary

Amarante FC play Os Sandinenses in the Club Friendly 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amarante FC averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Os Sandinenses averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Amarante FC won 1, Os Sandinenses won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Amarante FC and 0.88 for Os Sandinenses. This points to a Amarante FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Amarante FC
25%
Draws
21%
Os Sandinenses
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Amarante FC picked up more points recently compared to Os Sandinenses.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 25%
Os Sandinenses Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Os Sandinenses
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Amarante FC vs Os Sandinenses
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribeiro O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Os Sandinenses Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 54 / 100
Os Sandinenses 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Os Sandinenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Amarante FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Amarante FC attacking → ← attacking Os Sandinenses

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Os Sandinenses let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Amarante FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Os Sandinenses lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 31
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00