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Amarante FC vs Portimonense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Amarante Stadium, Amarante
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AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Amarante FC and Portimonense finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portimonense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Amarante FC
30%
Draws
23%
Portimonense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amarante FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Portimonense haven't matched Amarante FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Amarante FC's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 68%
Portimonense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amarante FC Portimonense
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.22 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amarante FC 77 / 100
Portimonense 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amarante FC Portimonense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amarante FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amarante FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Portimonense conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Amarante FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Portimonense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Amarante FC VS Portimonense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Amarante FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
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Portimonense

(Away)
19 Sept
Castro Daire
0 : 1
Portimonense
12 Sept
Portimonense
0 : 2
Tondela
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 7 4 1 2 14:7 13
3 Tondela 7 4 0 3 8:6 12
4 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
5 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
6 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
7 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
9 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
10 AFS 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
12 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 7 1 3 3 7:10 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)