Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Amarante FC play Varzim in the Liga 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Amarante FC averaged 1.28 goals scored and 0.84 conceded. Varzim averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Amarante FC won 2, Varzim won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Amarante FC and 0.88 for Varzim. This points to a Amarante FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Amarante FC picked up more points recently compared to Varzim.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 0.88 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Amarante FC | Varzim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Amarante FC Compare
Varzim Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Amarante FC scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Varzim let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Amarante FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Varzim lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amarante FC | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 22:11 | 31 |
| 2 | Academica | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 23:13 | 28 |
| 3 | CF Os Belenenses | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:16 | 26 |
| 4 | Mafra | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:17 | 17 |
| 6 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 13:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 8 | Trofense | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 7:16 | 10 |