Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026

Amasyaspor

1 - 2

Karadeniz Eregli

Our Tip

Match Events

38'

Guler O.

Assist: Bayar B.

54'

Bilen N.

80'

Sagir G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 3 2025/2026 game between Amasyaspor and Karadeniz Eregli finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karadeniz Eregli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Amasyaspor

44%

Draws

20%

Karadeniz Eregli

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Karadeniz Eregli come out ahead of Amasyaspor on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Amasyaspor Clean Sheet 20%

Karadeniz Eregli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Amasyaspor	Karadeniz Eregli
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	15
Draws	6	8
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 3

Amasyaspor vs Karadeniz Eregli

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Dec 6, 2025 3. Lig Group 3

Karadeniz Eregli vs Amasyaspor

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amasyaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagir G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Karadeniz Eregli Compare

Top Goalscorer Guler O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bilen N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amasyaspor 36 / 100

Karadeniz Eregli 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Amasyaspor Karadeniz Eregli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karadeniz Eregli has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Karadeniz Eregli lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Amasyaspor scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amasyaspor VS Karadeniz Eregli

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 0.25

63% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sebat Spor Kulubu	30	20	7	3	56:23	67
2	52 Orduspor	30	18	4	8	68:30	58
3	Karadeniz Eregli	30	16	9	5	44:29	57
4	Yozgat	30	17	6	7	58:27	57
5	Fatsa Bld.	30	15	4	11	40:32	49
6	Zonguldak Komurspor	30	13	7	10	48:30	46
7	Pazarspor	30	11	10	9	29:31	43
8	Karabuk Idmanyurdu	30	12	5	13	32:47	41
9	Duzcespor	30	11	7	12	30:36	40
10	Tokat Bld Plevnespor	30	10	6	14	31:38	36
11	Orduspor 1967	30	9	7	14	35:51	34
12	Amasyaspor	30	9	6	15	28:40	33
13	Hopaspor	30	9	5	16	38:50	32
14	Bulancakspor	30	8	5	17	30:60	29
15	Cayeli SK	30	5	9	16	25:46	24
16	Giresunspor	30	4	9	17	21:43	21