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Stadium Background

Amazonas vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Lucas Cardoso
15'
Kauan Firmo
21' Event
Schiappacasse N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Amazonas and Paysandu PA finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amazonas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Amazonas
30%
Draws
18%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Amazonas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Paysandu PA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Amazonas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 68%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Paysandu PA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Serie C
Amazonas vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Nov 14, 2025 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Amazonas
2:2
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Amazonas vs Paysandu PA
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Serie B
Paysandu PA vs Amazonas
0:1
May 18, 2024 Serie B
Amazonas vs Paysandu PA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiappacasse N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Cardoso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 95 / 100
Paysandu PA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amazonas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu PA has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Amazonas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Amazonas scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS Paysandu PA
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Paysandu PA
0 : 1
Maringa FC
22 Aug
Ituano
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
17 Aug
Ferroviaria
4 : 0
Paysandu PA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)