Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Amazonas vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith, Manaus
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Schiappacasse N.
19' Event
Tcharlles
89' Event
Raylison Pacheco

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Amazonas
15%
Draws
53%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Amazonas haven't matched Porto Velho's recent run of results.
  • Porto Velho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Porto Velho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Porto Velho, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Amazonas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Amazonas Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonas Porto Velho
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Norte
Amazonas vs Porto Velho
2:1
Jun 25, 2022 Serie D
Amazonas vs Porto Velho
1:2
May 7, 2022 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Amazonas
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Amazonas Compare

Top Goalscorer Schiappacasse N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raylison Pacheco
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Tcharlles
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonas 10 / 100
Porto Velho 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonas Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Porto Velho has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Amazonas scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Amazonas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonas VS Porto Velho
0.63 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonas

(Home)
09 Aug
Maringa FC
0 : 3
Amazonas
26 Jul
Amazonas
2 : 1
Paysandu PA
12 Jul
Internacional de Limeira
1 : 0
Amazonas
07 Jul
Amazonas
0 : 2
Itabaiana
30 Jun
Volta Redonda
3 : 0
Amazonas
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Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 5 4 1 0 14:1 13
2 Paysandu PA 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
3 Guapore 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
4 Trem 5 2 0 3 11:11 6
5 Independencia Futebol Clube 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 5 1 0 4 10:15 3
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 5 4 1 0 12:6 13
2 Porto Velho 5 3 1 1 10:5 10
3 Amazonas 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
4 Remo 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
5 Galvez 5 1 0 4 9:17 3
6 Monte Roraima 5 0 2 3 9:15 2
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)