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Stadium Background

Amazonia IFC vs Paragominas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paragominas in this Paraense B1 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Amazonia IFC
35%
Draws
45%
Paragominas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Amazonia IFC have won more games recently than Paragominas.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Paragominas taking it.
  • Amazonia IFC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paragominas, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 16%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Paragominas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Paragominas
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Amazonia IFC
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Amazonia IFC
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Paragominas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 23 / 100
Paragominas 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Paragominas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Amazonia IFC scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Paragominas has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Amazonia IFC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Paragominas
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Paragominas

(Away)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capitao Poco 2
Izabelense 0
Amazonia IFC 0
Paragominas 5
Carajas 2
Sao Raimundo PA 1
ESMAC 1
Independente 3
Semi-finals
Capitao Poco 3
Paragominas 0
Carajas 1
Independente 2
Final
Capitao Poco 1
Independente 2