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Amazonia IFC vs Urumajo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Amazonia IFC in this Paraense A2 2025 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Amazonia IFC
35%
Draws
53%
Urumajo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Urumajo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Amazonia IFC have won more games recently than Urumajo.
  • Win probability leans Urumajo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Amazonia IFC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Amazonia IFC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 15%
Urumajo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Amazonia IFC Urumajo
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.24 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 Paraense A2
Urumajo vs Amazonia IFC
0:1
Jul 20, 2025 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Urumajo
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Amazonia IFC 10 / 100
Urumajo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Amazonia IFC Urumajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urumajo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Amazonia IFC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Amazonia IFC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Urumajo has conceded goals in 41% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

Amazonia IFC VS Urumajo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Amazonia IFC

(Home)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
Page 1 of 6

Urumajo

(Away)
27 Jun
Urumajo
2 : 1
Izabelense
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Urumajo
3 : 0
Santos PA
30 May
Santos PA
0 : 1
Urumajo
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marajo 0
Canaa 5
Itupiranga 2
Sao Raimundo PA 4
Paragominas 1
Amazonia IFC 1
Uniao Paraense 0
Urumajo 1
Semi-finals
Canaa 1
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Urumajo 3
Final
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 1