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Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle

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Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ambrosiana play Delta Porto Tolle in the Serie D - Group C 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ambrosiana averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Delta Porto Tolle averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Ambrosiana won 2, Delta Porto Tolle won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2022 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Ambrosiana and 1.50 for Delta Porto Tolle. This points to a Ambrosiana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ambrosiana
28%
Draws
22%
Delta Porto Tolle
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ambrosiana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Delta Porto Tolle.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Ambrosiana.
  • Cup tournament structure in Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 68%
Delta Porto Tolle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Delta Porto Tolle
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 2.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
0:1
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
4:1
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana
0:1
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Delta Porto Tolle
1:1
Apr 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Delta Porto Tolle vs Ambrosiana
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ambrosiana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Delta Porto Tolle Compare

Top Goalscorer Spoto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 59 / 100
Delta Porto Tolle 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Delta Porto Tolle

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GSD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambrosiana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Delta Porto Tolle let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Delta Porto Tolle lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS Delta Porto Tolle
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ambrosiana0
Delta Porto Tolle1