Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C 2017/2018

Liventina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ambrosiana play Liventina in the Serie D - Group C 2017/2018. Ambrosiana are favorites here. Recently, Ambrosiana averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Liventina averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Ambrosiana won 2, Liventina won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 15, 2018 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Ambrosiana and 1.19 for Liventina. This points to a Ambrosiana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Ambrosiana

26%

Draws

17%

Liventina

Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Ambrosiana picked up more points recently compared to Liventina.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 20%

Liventina Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ambrosiana	Liventina
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	12	3
Draws	7	9
Losses	13	18
Goals Scored	1.59	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group C

Ambrosiana vs Liventina

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

6:1

Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group C

Liventina vs Ambrosiana

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 55 / 100

Liventina 17 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ambrosiana Liventina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ambrosiana Win (1)

Secondary Pick Ambrosiana & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ambrosiana attacking → ← attacking Liventina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambrosiana scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Liventina let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Liventina lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 18

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Virtus Verona	34	22	7	5	60:33	73
2	Campodarsego	34	21	5	8	73:43	68
3	Arzignano	34	19	10	5	75:42	67
4	Mantova	34	17	9	8	56:34	60
5	Adriese	34	16	8	10	56:31	56
6	Este	34	15	11	8	49:29	56
7	AC Belluno	34	15	6	13	62:50	51
8	Legnago Salus	34	13	10	11	53:47	49
9	Union Feltre	34	14	7	13	49:56	49
10	Delta Porto Tolle	34	13	8	13	47:50	47
11	Cjarlins Muzane	34	10	14	10	51:49	44
12	Clodiense	34	10	11	13	44:60	41
13	Ambrosiana	34	11	7	16	51:64	40
14	Tamai	34	10	10	14	50:51	40
15	Montebelluna	34	8	8	18	34:50	32
16	Calvi Noale	34	7	7	20	32:67	28
17	Liventina	34	5	10	19	33:64	25
18	Abano	34	4	4	26	25:80	16