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Ambrosiana vs Manzanese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Nicoloso L.
26' Event
Metlika A.
33' Event
Rabbas M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 game between Ambrosiana and Manzanese finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ambrosiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ambrosiana
15%
Draws
42%
Manzanese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Manzanese come out ahead of Ambrosiana on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Manzanese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 19%
Manzanese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Manzanese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Manzanese
4:1
Nov 21, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Manzanese vs Ambrosiana
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Metlika A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Manzanese Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoloso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 28 / 100
Manzanese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Manzanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manzanese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Ambrosiana's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Manzanese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ambrosiana remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ambrosiana VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ambrosiana

(Home)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 7

Manzanese

(Away)
16 Jun
Manzanese
0 : 1
Clodiense
13 Jun
Manzanese
1 : 0
Luparense FC
06 Jun
Arzignano
1 : 0
Manzanese
30 May
Manzanese
2 : 0
Mestre
23 May
Montebelluna
0 : 1
Manzanese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trento 38 23 12 3 65:35 81
2 Arzignano 38 19 10 9 52:34 67
3 Manzanese 38 19 9 10 64:44 66
4 Clodiense 38 17 11 10 51:41 62
5 Caldiero Terme 38 15 16 7 56:36 61
6 Mestre 38 18 6 14 58:49 60
7 Delta Porto Tolle 38 17 7 14 51:38 58
8 Luparense FC 38 15 9 14 52:48 54
9 AC Belluno 38 12 17 9 43:45 53
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 13 13 12 60:60 52
11 Cartigliano 38 13 13 12 42:45 52
12 San Giorgio-Sedico 38 13 10 15 48:48 49
13 Adriese 38 13 10 15 55:64 49
14 Ambrosiana 38 11 14 13 57:64 47
15 Este 38 9 16 13 45:53 43
16 Campodarsego 38 10 10 18 41:48 40
17 Union Feltre 38 10 9 19 41:59 39
18 Virtus Bolzano 38 10 8 20 46:52 38
19 Montebelluna 38 10 8 20 41:67 38
20 Chions 38 3 12 23 30:68 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2020/2021 (Play Offs)