Sport Picks

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Ambrosiana vs Mestre

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Nicoloso L.
85' Event
Dabo Gnako Y.

AI Match Summary

Ambrosiana host Mestre in the Serie D - Group C 2021/2022. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Mestre have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Ambrosiana have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Ambrosiana slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2022, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.97 xG vs 1.11) point toward Mestre. Mestre in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ambrosiana
6%
Draws
4%
Mestre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ambrosiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mestre has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ambrosiana.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ambrosiana.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 68%
Mestre Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ambrosiana Mestre
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Mestre
1:1
Dec 8, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Ambrosiana
0:2
Mar 27, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Ambrosiana
0:1
Oct 31, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Mestre
1:2
Apr 9, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Mestre vs Ambrosiana
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Dabo Gnako Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Mestre Compare

Top Goalscorer Nicoloso L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ambrosiana 95 / 100
Mestre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ambrosiana Mestre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GSD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ambrosiana scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Mestre let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Ambrosiana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mestre lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mestre
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arzignano342110374:3273
2Clodiense342012253:2272
3Adriese34199661:3666
4Luparense FC341610860:3558
5Campodarsego341511848:3756
6Caldiero Terme341561358:5051
7Dolomiti Bellunesi341481251:5050
8Montebelluna341471357:5249
9Mestre341371436:4546
10Cjarlins Muzane3411121151:4345
11Cartigliano3411121144:4045
12Este3410131131:4243
13Levico Terme341191431:4042
14Ambrosiana341171645:5240
15Delta Porto Tolle341061843:5136
16Spinea34672127:5825
17Cattolica Calcio34652320:6123
18San Martino Speme34552429:7320