Sport Picks
Ambrosiana vs Montebelluna Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 
Match Events
18'
18'
Abdulai N.
20'
20'
Biancheri P.
59'
59'
Biancheri P.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Ambrosiana and Montebelluna finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Montebelluna.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ambrosiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Montebelluna come out ahead of Ambrosiana on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 68%
Montebelluna Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ambrosiana | Montebelluna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 3.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 26, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Montebelluna
0:3
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Ambrosiana
2:0
Mar 21, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Montebelluna
4:1
Oct 25, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Montebelluna vs Ambrosiana
2:1
Apr 5, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Montebelluna
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ambrosiana Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Montebelluna Compare
Top Goalscorer Biancheri P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Abdulai N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.58
Avg xA / game 2.19
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ambrosiana 41 / 100
Montebelluna 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ambrosiana Montebelluna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ambrosiana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ambrosiana scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Ambrosiana has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Montebelluna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ambrosiana VS Montebelluna
0 Goals Scored 0.88
7 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ambrosiana
(Home) 26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0 Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2 Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1 Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3 Spinea
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2 Luparense FC
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3 Spinea
23 Apr
Ambrosiana
1 : 1 Mestre
10 Apr
Ambrosiana
4 : 1 Delta Porto Tolle
Page 1 of 3
Montebelluna
(Away) 05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0 Montebelluna
28 Apr
Montebelluna
3 : 2 Cjarlins Muzane
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2 Montebelluna
14 Apr
Montebelluna
0 : 0 Montecchio Maggiore
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0 Montebelluna
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Clodiense
2 : 0 Montebelluna
21 Apr
Breno
3 : 2 Montebelluna
07 Apr
Treviso
2 : 0 Montebelluna
23 Mar
Chions
0 : 1 Montebelluna
17 Mar
Bassano Virtus
1 : 1 Montebelluna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arzignano | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 74:32 | 73 |
| 2 | Clodiense | 34 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 53:22 | 72 |
| 3 | Adriese | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 61:36 | 66 |
| 4 | Luparense FC | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60:35 | 58 |
| 5 | Campodarsego | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 48:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 58:50 | 51 |
| 7 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:50 | 50 |
| 8 | Montebelluna | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 57:52 | 49 |
| 9 | Mestre | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 36:45 | 46 |
| 10 | Cjarlins Muzane | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 51:43 | 45 |
| 11 | Cartigliano | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 44:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Este | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 31:42 | 43 |
| 13 | Levico Terme | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:40 | 42 |
| 14 | Ambrosiana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 45:52 | 40 |
| 15 | Delta Porto Tolle | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43:51 | 36 |
| 16 | Spinea | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27:58 | 25 |
| 17 | Cattolica Calcio | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 20:61 | 23 |
| 18 | San Martino Speme | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 29:73 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)
