Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ameri Tbilisi II vs Guria

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2006/2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pirveli Liga 2006/2007 game between Ameri Tbilisi II and Guria finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ameri Tbilisi II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ameri Tbilisi II
15%
Draws
57%
Guria
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Guria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guria a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ameri Tbilisi II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Ameri Tbilisi II Clean Sheet 11%
Guria Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ameri Tbilisi II Guria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2007 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Ameri Tbilisi II
0:3
Nov 19, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Ameri Tbilisi II vs Guria
4:2
Apr 10, 2006 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Ameri Tbilisi II vs Guria
3:1
Oct 14, 2005 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Guria vs Ameri Tbilisi II
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ameri Tbilisi II 10 / 100
Guria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ameri Tbilisi II Guria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Guria let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ameri Tbilisi II scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Ameri Tbilisi II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guria
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ameri Tbilisi II

(Home)
16 May
Chikhura Sachkhere
2 : 0
Ameri Tbilisi II
10 May
Ameri Tbilisi II
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
04 May
FC Olimpiki Tbilisi
3 : 0
Ameri Tbilisi II
26 Apr
Ameri Tbilisi II
7 : 0
FC Tbilisi
18 Apr
Ameri Tbilisi II
3 : 0
Norchi Dinamo Tbilisi
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Guria

(Away)
03 Sept
Guria
2 : 0
Gonio
27 Aug
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Guria
21 Aug
Guria
2 : 0
Iberia 1999 2
13 Aug
Merani Tbilisi
0 : 5
Guria
06 Aug
Guria
0 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
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