Sport Picks
America De Cali vs Cartagena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali 
Match Events
29'
29'
Carrascal R.
54'
54'
Guzman Y.
59'
59'
Quinones L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: America De Cali
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cartagena haven't matched America De Cali's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on America De Cali taking it.
- America De Cali have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor America De Cali, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
America De Cali Clean Sheet 19%
Cartagena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | America De Cali | Cartagena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2026 Copa Colombia
Cartagena vs America De Cali
1:1
Jul 22, 2026 Copa Colombia
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Nov 13, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
0:2
Nov 8, 2016 Primera B
America De Cali vs Cartagena
2:1
Sep 29, 2016 Primera B
Cartagena vs America De Cali
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
America De Cali Compare
Top Goalscorer Carrascal R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guzman Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Cartagena Compare
Top Goalscorer Manotas M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
America De Cali 49 / 100
Cartagena 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
America De Cali Cartagena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick America De Cali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cartagena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.
America De Cali found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: America De Cali stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
America De Cali VS Cartagena
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
America De Cali
(Home) 05 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 2 America De Cali
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
20 Sept
Deportes Tolima
1 : 1 America De Cali
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
Page 1 of 6
24 Sept
America De Cali
1 : 0 Aguilas Doradas
15 Sept
America De Cali
0 : 1 Dep. Pasto
09 Sept
America De Cali
4 : 1 Dep. Pereira
03 Sept
America De Cali
3 : 0 Alianza
26 Aug
America De Cali
4 : 2 Junior
Page 1 of 3
Cartagena
(Away) 08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
04 Oct
Cartagena
2 : 3 Boca Juniors de Cali
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
22 Sept
Cartagena
0 : 0 Envigado
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2 Cartagena
29 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Cartagena
12 Sept
Inter Palmira
2 : 1 Cartagena
05 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 1 Cartagena
24 Aug
Leones
1 : 6 Cartagena
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Final
Atl. Nacional 4
Tigres Futbol Club 0
Junior 5
Barranquilla 6
Dep. Pasto 3
Bogota 1
America De Cali 3
Cartagena 2
Once Caldas 6
Envigado 0
Deportes Tolima 3
Quindio 4
Santa Fe 3
Union Magdalena 1
Inter Bogotá 3
Inter Palmira 1
